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About the Author

  • City of the Future is authored by Lakis Polycarpou

    I am a freelance writer who is interested in the intersection of urban planning, architecture, technology, food, economics, energy and environmental issues. For the last several years I have been researching and writing about the implications of global peak oil.

    My work on these topics has been published in Energy Bulletin, Next American City, The Believer Magazine and The Washington Post among other places.

    I am also the Vice President of a new small press and Permaculture design company, KP Press Books/KP Permaculture.

    I can be reached at neapolis@earthlink.net or at lakis@kppressbooks.com

« Matt Simmons Saves the World? | Main | City of the Future Returns! »

March 15, 2010

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Author stated:
"To be fair to Steffen, there is probably a lot that “deep green” could also learn from “bright green” – things about business, finance, planning, etc. that will be necessary to make any transition effective."

There are fundamental flaws to a green growth paradigm too. Shades of green classifications are put in place by "business as usual" pundits who still want us to believe that a green tech economy will save the day and we'll be able to just continue the same wasteful and ineffective practices as we have done up to this point in human history without the necessary changes. The fools paradigm of expansion + exploitation + elite rule = progress or prosperity is what "green techies" still want to advocate despite its obvious non-relevance to the biophysical and socio-cultural demands of 21st century life or any time prior for that matter.

These folks continuously want us to think we can just expand forever without any cognizance of our limits to growth and its strain on or exceeding the boundaries that maintain our basic life support systems.

Any reorganization or rebuilding of our communities and bioregions must take into account the need to mitigate energy descent and all the problems this axiomatic issue has and will bring. Anything else is just wishful thinking...

What is the new magic elixir (with an EROEI equivalent to early energy concentrations/densities of fossil fuels) that is going to power this new green tech revolution?

Contrary to The End of Suburbia I think
suburbia could become a source of food.
I still cannot see why the inner city
is more desirable. I love the rural countryside and want to design my place
-farm to be to be a attraction to city folks.
VSFF or Vacation Supported Farm and Garden.
I could no doubt use help with a over all
permaculture design on 60 acres.

Charles,

I'm pretty sure Steffen wouldn't say that "we'll just be able to continue the same wasteful and ineffective practices" nor would most serious "cleantech" people. The question is how much faith we have in the power of innovation. I lean toward skepticism on many fronts, but not all. And one doesn't have to believe in a "magic elixer" to hope that some combination of technologies could help mitigate energy descent.

We will obviously have to cut consumption dramatically but what form will those cuts take? I don't think anyone knows for sure. I can visualize various possible scenarios.

I do agree with you that there appears to be a contradiction between the endless economic growth and the resource limits we're facing, so I have serious doubts about the viability of our financial system. But how will that play out? Will there be no investment at all? Will inflation wipe out fiat currencies? If so, what currency system will governments put in place? (Hyperinflation is not necessarily dieoff). Maybe "cleantech innovation" should include financial innovation that takes limits to growth into account.

Gerald,

I have struggled with the urban/suburbia/rural issue myself, and come to the conclusion that everyplace will have its problems. I like your idea of designing your place as attractive to city folks. It seems to me that making the connection between urban and productive rural landscapes (i.e. sustainable farms) will be a crucial adaptive response as we head forward.

David Holmgren (co-founder of permaculture) shares your view about the adaptive potential of the suburbs. I'm not so sure. Especially in the U.S., so much of the suburban stock is so poor, and so poorly designed . . . but I think it depends on many factors. The beauty of permaculture is that it can in principle be applied anywhere.

Bernanke likes to remind everyone that he is an expert on the great depression and knows how to prevent it from happening again in the US. Apparently he is also an expert on Japan and its struggle with chronic deflation following its housing bubble in the 1980's. In fact Bernanke wrote an article in 2000 titled "Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis," where he goes on to lecture BOJ officials about what they could and should have done differently in order to to avoid a deflationary outcome. He goes on to postulate that the BOJ was not trying hard enough to stimulate the economy and that 0% interest rates are just one tool to beat deflation. The Fed Chairmen even goes so far as to assert that he knows how to escape a liquidity trap caused by 0% interest rates. The reason I bring this up is because it gives people a good idea of what Bernanke's next move may be. The US is dangerously close to falling into the dreaded "liquidity trap" as deflation takes hold and monetary policy loses its effectiveness.

Here are some of his suggestions to the BOJ:
http://blackswaninsights.blogspot.com/2010/08/bernanke-explains-how-to-escape.html

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ALWAYS HAVE A DREAM Forget about the days when it's been cloudy, But don't forget your hours in the sun. Forget about the times you've been defeated, But don't forget the victories you've won. Forget about the misfortunes you've encountered, But don't forget the times your luck has turned. Forget about the days when you've been lonely, But don't forget the friendly smiles you've seen. Forget about the plans that didn't seem to work out right, But don't forget to always have a dream.

Part of it is intentional: groups spread more rapidly when the demands placed on their members are minimal. However, the approach also betrays a far darker mindset.

The Chicago Bears have waived quarterback Matt Gutierrez and running back Dan Dierking.Gutierrez spent part of the preseason last year with Chicago and was signed to a reserve/future contract in January. He has played sparingly since he entered the league with New England in 2007 as an undrafted free agent out of Idaho State.Dierking was an undrafted free agent from Purdue.The Bears announced the moves on Monday.

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